KBYZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) valid 2024-06-01T08:18:00ZKBYZ issues Area Forecast Discussion (AFD) valid 2024-06-01T08:18:00Z0.25" of QPF through Tuesday morning is 10-25% for most of the forecast area outside of the mountains and foothills. The foothills currently have a 30-50% probability of 0.25" of QPF and a 50-70% probability in the mountains. As for the overall chance for precip, the latest forecast has almost the entire area seeing a 60-80% in the Monday night thru Tuesday morning timeframe. The chance for showers will diminish from west to east, Tuesday morning. In the wake of the frontal passage, increased winds and breezy conditions are anticipated. Current guidance has winds in the 20-30 mph with gusts in the 30s-40s mph. The highest wind gusts are expected to be in the western mtns and foothills. An upper ridge begins building into the Northwest Tuesday night. Ensembles show this ridge persisting through the extended forecast period, bringing warm and dry conditions. High temperatures in the low to mid 70s on Tuesday, 70s to low 80s on Wednesday, and low to mid 80s Thursday thru Saturday. Matos && .AVIATION... VFR will prevail today under high pressure aloft. A weak Pacific disturbance is expected to bring scattered showers and a few weak thunderstorms from west to east beginning around 22z in the west (i.e. KLVM to KHWQ) and continuing eastward through tonight. Erratic wind gusts (30 kts or less) are possible with this activity in the early evening, otherwise VFR should prevail through tonight. TS POTENTIAL TIMES TODAY: KLVM: 22-04Z JKL && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMP/POPS... Tdy Sun Mon Tue Wed Thu Fri ------------------------------------------------------- BIL 078 052/074 055/078 050/074 053/081 053/084 056/085 1/U 32/W 02/W 71/N 00/U 00/U 11/U LVM 078 048/074 052/071 045/071 052/081 051/084 054/085 2/B 33/T 17/T 71/N 00/N 01/U 11/B HDN 080 050/076 052/082 050/076 051/082 050/086 054/087 0/U 22/W 01/E 81/B 00/U 00/U 10/U MLS 078 053/076 052/082 052/073 053/078 049/083 053/085 0/U 32/T 01/B 81/N 10/N 00/U 10/U 4BQ 079 052/075 051/083 051/073 053/077 051/083 055/085 0/U 22/W 01/B 71/B 00/U 00/U 10/U BHK 078 051/076 050/082 049/070 049/076 047/079 049/080 0/U 33/T 02/T 71/N 10/N 00/U 00/U SHR 080 048/075 049/081 047/074 049/080 049/084 053/085 0/U 12/T 01/B 72/W 00/U 00/U 11/U && .BYZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MT...None. WY...None. && $$ weather.gov/billings ]]>